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Prediction markets
19 active markets
· category “Science”
How it works
How to trade
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Hong Wang
99%
Yu Deng
99%
9 more
$879K
Vol.
Jul 30
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
64 trading now
Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by July 31?
5000+
99%
2500+
99%
5 more
$40K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
38 trading now
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 27 - August 2?
50%
chance
Yes
No
$19K
Vol.
Aug 2
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$50
35 trading now
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 27 - August 2?
0
1%
Yes
No
1
57%
Yes
No
$26K
Vol.
Aug 3
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$43
47 trading now
2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
1st hottest
70%
3rd hottest
20%
2 more
$131K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$36
42 trading now
Precipitation in NYC in July?
5-6"
40%
4-5"
30%
4 more
$43K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$63
49 trading now
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
August 30
47%
December 31
39%
2 more
$1.4K
Vol.
Jan 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$53
37 trading now
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
5%
chance
Yes
No
$123K
Vol.
Mar 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
46 trading now
How many Tornadoes in the US in August 2026?
80-99
25%
100–119
25%
7 more
$533.71
Vol.
Sep 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$102
41 trading now
Precipitation in Seattle in July?
<0.5"
93%
0.5-1"
7%
5 more
$5.3K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$27
43 trading now
How many Tornadoes in the US in July?
130–159
51%
100–129
46%
7 more
$2.7K
Vol.
Aug 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$49
42 trading now
Precipitation in Seoul in July?
100mm+
99%
90-100mm
1%
6 more
$13K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
46 trading now
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